John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 2

SOVEREIGN LAW

C '23 · INTO MISCHIEF × SUN PATH

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: FRANCO MANUEL

Today's prediction

83.2

Speed fig

27.6%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.11
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.74
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.66
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.63
  • Last Speed Fig +0.52

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.35
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.32
  • Class Par Trend -0.26
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 1m Dirt 1 1.0 91 87 3wd; 5wd 3/16; up late
2026-02-28 GP 6f Dirt 6 12.3 75 89 Outrun inside