John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 7

SOUTH BEND TOM

G '22 · LIAM'S MAP × GLYCINE

Trainer: STALL ALBERT M JR · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

72.5

Speed fig

17.8%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.41
  • Class Par Trend +0.21
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.15
  • Trainer Meet Starts Log +0.14
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.13
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.48
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.43
  • Last Speed Fig -0.31
  • Days Since Last Race -0.30

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-12-27 FG 6f Dirt 7 20.0 57 91 Hit gate; stdy7/16
2025-11-02 CD 6f Dirt 1 2.0 88 89 Dueled 2wd;cleared 1/4
2025-04-06 KEE 7f Dirt 8 26.3 60 84 4-5p; tired
2025-01-20 FG 1.06m Dirt 5 12.8 67 90 3w;prompt btw;fade5/16
2024-12-19 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 1.3 76 73 2p;bid 4pupr;held sway
2024-11-20 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 2.8 76 86 Ins foe;inch free;bstd
2024-11-01 CD 6f Dirt 5 5.8 65 84 4p;6p1/4;willingly