Derby 2026
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PP 7

SOUTH BEND TOM

G '22 · LIAM'S MAP × GLYCINE

Trainer: STALL ALBERT M JR · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

78.3

Speed fig

24.0%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.96
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.95
  • Days Since Last Race +0.73
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.25
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.38
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.31
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.31
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.19
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-12-27 FG 6f Dirt 7 20.0 57 91 Hit gate; stdy7/16
2025-11-02 CD 6f Dirt 1 2.0 88 89 Dueled 2wd;cleared 1/4
2025-04-06 KEE 7f Dirt 8 26.3 60 84 4-5p; tired
2025-01-20 FG 1.06m Dirt 5 12.8 67 90 3w;prompt btw;fade5/16
2024-12-19 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 1.3 76 73 2p;bid 4pupr;held sway
2024-11-20 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 2.8 76 86 Ins foe;inch free;bstd
2024-11-01 CD 6f Dirt 5 5.8 65 84 4p;6p1/4;willingly