John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 1

SOUND CAUSE

C '22 · BRODY'S CAUSE × QUEEN OF SCAT

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ASMUSSEN KEITH J

Today's prediction

75.4

Speed fig

45.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.56
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.34
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.28
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.28
  • Today Post Position +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.42
  • Today Field Size -0.60
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.34
  • Tj Combo Starts 365d Log -0.24
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 1.06m Dirt 4 8.3 74 87 Press 2w;gave way btw
2026-02-26 TP 1m Dirt 8 9.5 78 92 Brush st;4-3p;outrun
2026-01-21 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.5 88 86 4-5p;6p3/16;drove past
2025-12-03 TP 1.25m Dirt 4 5.0 82 86 Evenly; no response
2025-11-13 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 10.3 75 84 3-2p;wait;5p upr;rally
2025-03-22 TP 1m Dirt 6 7.0 78 84 Never menaced
2025-03-05 TP 1m Dirt 2 2.5 82 84 Even 1/2 along for 2nd
2025-02-01 TP 1m Dirt 2 3.8 79 84 Perfect trip no match
2025-01-04 TP 1m Dirt 4 1.8 79 84 Btwn early closed well
2024-11-30 CD 1.06m Dirt 9 9.0 79 85 4-2p1st; no impact