John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 5

SNOW FACE PRINCESS

F '23 · MIDSHIPMAN × CRUSIN ALONE

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

85.1

Speed fig

41.7%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.71
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.86
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.71
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.60
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.57

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.22
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.15
  • Weight Change From Last -0.12
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.09
  • Last Finish Pos -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 5.5f Turf 5 8.5 81 91 3p;6p upr;improved
2026-04-10 KEE 5.5f Turf 9 7.8 83 90 3p; no factor btwn
2025-09-07 KD 6.5f Turf 2 1.0 85 83 Ins;shift 3p 3/16;game
2025-08-17 SAR 5.5f Turf 1 0.3 90 85 3w uppr; up last jumps
2025-07-30 SAR 5.5f Turf 1 2.0 85 81 2-3p;5p1/4;bmpd1/8;clr
2025-05-23 BAQ 5f Dirt 4 4.8 52 85 Chased 2-3w; mild kick