John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 2

SMOKE

F '24 · VOLATILE × ONYX

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

72.6

Speed fig

50.6%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.40
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.23
  • Today Post Position +0.17
  • Run Style P +0.10
  • Days Since Last Race +0.07

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -1.47
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.52
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.52
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.39
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.39

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-08 KEE 4.5f Dirt 2 3.5 75 84 Hop st;5p;edged place