John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 8

SLAY THE DAY

F '23 · INTO MISCHIEF × MIND OUT

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

89.5

Speed fig

10.3%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.80
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.63
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.19
  • Last Speed Fig +0.93
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.72

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Purse Log10 -0.48
  • Today Post Position -0.44
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.34
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.26
  • Today Field Size -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 5.5f Turf 1 0.3 97 90 Prompt 2wd;dueled;held
2026-03-06 GP 5f Turf 1 4.0 91 85 Duel 2wd; drew off
2026-01-03 GP 6.5f Dirt 2 2.0 78 84 4w;ridden3w1/4;2d best
2025-11-16 CD 5.5f Dirt 1 0.8 84 81 Drifted out; held edge
2025-10-18 KEE 6f Dirt 4 5.3 82 86 Ins pair turn;gave way