John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 7

SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING

H '19 · EXAGGERATOR × TWINKLING

Trainer: JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

94.9

Speed fig

42.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.66
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.78
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.57
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.31
  • Last Speed Fig +0.88

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.45
  • Num Career Starts -0.35
  • Class Par Trend -0.28
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.15
  • Today Post Position -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 OP 1.13m Dirt 1 5.3 97 99 Took ovr at will;drift
2026-01-24 GP 1.13m Dirt 1 1.8 100 105 Bump early;ins;4wd 1/4
2025-12-20 GP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.1 95 99 Ins;bid3w;dueled;best
2025-08-22 CT 1.13m Dirt 8 39.3 54 102 Ins;yielded final turn
2025-08-02 SAR 1.13m Dirt 7 12.8 93 105 2-3p2nd;led3/8-5/16
2025-05-26 SA 1.25m Dirt 1 0.8 108 102 4w;bid3-2w;proved best
2025-04-19 OP 1.13m Dirt 3 7.8 94 102 2duels;quick;weakened
2025-03-08 TAM 1.06m Dirt 1 1.3 98 99 Lunged st;bid3w;clear
2025-01-25 GP 1.13m Dirt 3 6.5 97 105 2-3w; ran on; miss 2nd
2024-11-02 DMR 1m Dirt 6 5.8 94 105 5-3w;3-2w;no response