John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 6

SIERRA NOVEMBER

F '22 · GLOBAL CAMPAIGN × SWAMPOODLE

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

82.8

Speed fig

48.0%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.85
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.57
  • Today Track Code +0.47
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.41
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.26

Pushing prediction down

  • Class Par Trend -0.16
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.11
  • Last Finish Pos -0.10
  • Trainer Meet Win Rate -0.09
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 KEE 1.13m Dirt 5 8.5 81 88 Step slow st;2w;6p1/4
2026-03-08 FG 1.06m Dirt 2 6.0 80 86 Boxed in 1/4;2nd best
2026-02-07 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 0.8 84 87 Shuffle st;bid 4w;held
2026-01-10 FG 1.04m Dirt 4 5.3 81 87 Slow; gained; no bid
2025-10-18 KEE 1.06m Dirt 8 32.8 57 91 Off slow;ins-2w;outrun
2025-03-19 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 1.8 87 82 Rate ins;3-4p5/16;rlly
2025-02-15 FG 6f Dirt 4 11.0 76 84 In range 4p; gave way
2025-01-20 FG 6f Dirt 7 8.8 74 84 Off slow;4p;no impact