John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 8

SICILIAN DEFENSE

H '21 · UNCLE MO × STROMBOLIAN

Trainer: DEVAUX CHERIE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

78.7

Speed fig

36.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.30
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.75
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.44
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.23
  • Today Track Code +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.40
  • Today Post Position -0.37
  • Today Field Size -0.20
  • Starts Last 180d -0.19
  • Weight Change From Last -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-11 KEE 1m Turf 8 12.3 72 90 Stalked 2p-ins; faded
2025-06-01 CD 1m Turf 9 8.3 76 91 Saved ground;no menace
2025-04-09 KEE 1m Turf 6 3.3 78 91 Prompt 2w;vied;gave wy
2025-02-15 FG 1m Turf 2 4.8 86 87 Track 3p;gain place1/8
2025-01-18 FG 1.04m Dirt 4 6.8 86 87 Tracked 3p; chased
2024-11-29 FG 1.06m Turf 1 0.1 78 82 Long drive;dug in;up
2024-11-03 CD 1.13m Turf 2 1.3 73 87 Ins-2p;game btw;outkck
2024-07-05 ELP 1m Dirt 2 0.1 83 85 Pace;long drv; missed
2024-02-24 OP 1.06m Dirt 12 52.3 28 87 Brief speed; stopped
2024-01-13 GP 6f Dirt 6 8.5 69 91 No factor; 2wd