John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 9

SHOW TIME

G '19 · INTO MISCHIEF × FLAUTIST

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

87.8

Speed fig

39.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.68
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.90
  • Last Speed Fig +0.91
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.85
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.79

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.40
  • Today Post Position -0.34
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.16
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.15
  • Last Btn Lengths -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 KEE 6f Dirt 1 0.1 96 91 Dug in;drift out;held
2026-03-01 FG 6f Dirt 3 2.3 92 87 Alert; duel; wkn late
2026-01-29 FG 6f Dirt 2 4.3 84 90 5wbid; no match
2026-01-08 FG 6f Dirt 1 5.3 88 90 Press; bid7/16; clear
2025-11-27 CD 6.5f Dirt 2 7.0 81 87 Track 2p;4p upr;ran on
2025-09-11 CD 6f Dirt 1 0.5 93 89 Stalk 4p;bid 1/4;dueld
2025-08-09 SAR 6f Dirt 2 0.3 84 91 4p;led1/8-1/16;denied
2025-04-29 CD 1m Dirt 1 0.8 84 84 Ins foes;cleared;lastd
2025-03-23 OP 1.06m Dirt 9 23.0 62 86 Dueled outside;falterd
2025-03-01 OP 1m Dirt 5 9.5 83 95 Traffic 3/4;again 2nd