John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 9

SHOOT IT TRUE

F '22 · MUNNINGS × TO THE MOON ALICE

Trainer: WARD WESLEY A · Jockey: ROSARIO JOEL

Today's prediction

89.2

Speed fig

39.4%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.03
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.07
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.03
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.76
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.52

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.47
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.43
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.27
  • Starts Last 180d -0.18
  • Today Field Size -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 5.5f Turf 2 1.3 87 Brk thru gate;wrangled
2025-10-31 DMR 5f Turf 2 1.0 94 89 3wide; led; outkicked
2025-08-30 SAR 5.5f Turf 1 3.8 90 87 2-3w pursuit; drew clr
2025-07-18 SAR 5.5f Turf 1 3.0 86 81 5w uppr; geared down
2025-04-07 KEE 6.5f Dirt 6 13.5 70 86 2p;headed 1/4;faltered
2024-11-16 AQU 6f Dirt 1 4.3 99 91 In hand 3-2w; drew off
2024-05-02 CD 5f Dirt 4 4.8 73 91 Fractious;2p;clrd;wknd
2024-04-05 KEE 4.5f Dirt 1 7.5 91 83 Much the best; easily