John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 4

SHE'S OUR GIRL

F '23 · CURLIN × COVENANT

Trainer: EURTON PETER · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

78.2

Speed fig

28.4%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.76
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.51
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.48
  • BRIS Prime Power +0.40
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.37

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.85
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.73
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.26
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.22
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 7f Dirt 4 5.3 80 88 Off slow;3-2p;splt1/16