John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 4

SHARONS PHAROAH

G '23 · AMERICAN PHAROAH × MARIE MADELAINE

Trainer: THOMAS JONATHAN · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

84.9

Speed fig

40.9%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.47
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.69
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.65
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.63
  • Today Track Code +0.47

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.17
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.15
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.15
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.13
  • Today Field Size -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-29 SA 1.13m Turf 1 0.5 87 87 3deep;bid2w5/16;game
2026-02-22 SA 1m Turf 3 2.5 81 87 Inside;overtaken upper