John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 9

SETTLING STORM

M '20 · TONALIST × STORM TIDE

Trainer: MATEJKA PAVEL · Jockey: GARCIA MARTIN

Today's prediction

82.9

Speed fig

20.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.49
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.94
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.59
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.26
  • Class Par Trend +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.43
  • Last Finish Pos -0.14
  • Today Field Size -0.14
  • Weight Change From Last -0.09
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-15 KEE 1.06m Turf 8 12.3 76 Step slow st; 2p turns
2026-02-28 TP 1m Dirt 2 10.8 77 90 4-5p;stay on;no match
2026-01-21 TP 1m Dirt 1 2.0 90 92 Gain 4p;bid1/8;drv pst
2025-12-20 TP 1.25m Dirt 6 7.0 80 89 2p;4-5p2d;mss 4th btw
2025-11-15 CD 1.06m Turf 2 0.8 85 77 Ins;3-4p;8w uppr;closd
2025-10-06 PID 1.06m Dirt 1 3.0 81 78 Sept up 6w;drw clr
2025-09-04 KD 1.31m Turf 5 4.3 87 86 3-5w str;no final bid
2025-06-23 PID 1.04m Dirt 8 8.3 77 80 Tracked; steady fade
2025-06-02 PID 1m Dirt 3 1.5 85 80 Angled traffic;surged
2025-03-23 TAM 1.06m Turf 2 1.8 84 83 Tight early;5w nod 2nd