Derby 2026
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PP 5

SEAL BAY

C '23 · MUNNINGS × BABY SEAL

Trainer: MOGER ED JR · Jockey: PAULY SUMMER

Today's prediction

76.8

Speed fig

12.3%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.30
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.13
  • Speed Fig Trend +0.13
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.12
  • Class Par Trend +0.10

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -5.20
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.77
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.49
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.28
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-27 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.5 82 86 Ins-2p;2w1/16;held frm
2026-03-05 TP 1m Dirt 3 3.8 77 86 2p;ins pair 2nd;outkck
2025-11-22 CD 1.06m Dirt 8 28.5 52 87 Bmp st;4p;fade btw 2nd
2025-11-02 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 1.5 76 76 Brk out;5w2nd;bid;clrd
2025-09-12 CNL 1.06m Turf 4 2.5 83 73 Off slw;forward;weaknd
2025-08-02 ELP 1m Dirt 6 16.3 72 81 4p;chasd;5p upr;no bid
2025-06-29 CD 6f Dirt 10 17.0 67 84 Off slow;4p;no impact