John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 5

SEAL BAY

C '23 · MUNNINGS × BABY SEAL

Trainer: MOGER ED JR · Jockey: PAULY SUMMER

Today's prediction

75.3

Speed fig

13.2%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Last Speed Fig +0.32
  • Last Finish Pos +0.27
  • Today Track Code +0.27
  • Class Par Trend +0.24
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.63
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.44
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.39
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.37
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.35

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-27 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.5 82 86 Ins-2p;2w1/16;held frm
2026-03-05 TP 1m Dirt 3 3.8 77 86 2p;ins pair 2nd;outkck
2025-11-22 CD 1.06m Dirt 8 28.5 52 87 Bmp st;4p;fade btw 2nd
2025-11-02 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 1.5 76 76 Brk out;5w2nd;bid;clrd
2025-09-12 CNL 1.06m Turf 4 2.5 83 73 Off slw;forward;weaknd
2025-08-02 ELP 1m Dirt 6 16.3 72 81 4p;chasd;5p upr;no bid
2025-06-29 CD 6f Dirt 10 17.0 67 84 Off slow;4p;no impact