John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 5

SCRIBBLE

F '22 · GOLDENCENTS × SAXONY

Trainer: SIMS MATTHEW P · Jockey: GUTIERREZ MARIO

Today's prediction

75.7

Speed fig

39.0%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Weight Change From Last +0.29
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.26
  • Today Track Code +0.24
  • Distance Change From Last +0.23
  • Last Speed Fig +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.60
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.41
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.37
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.32
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.23

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 KEE 1.06m Dirt 4 5.5 78 87 3p;chsd 4p3/16;no bid
2026-02-26 TP 1m Dirt 3 8.0 75 78 Ins;wait5/16;rally btw
2026-01-17 TP 1m Dirt 8 9.3 71 80 3p-ins;collard5/16;wkn
2025-12-19 TP 1m Dirt 1 1.0 74 76 Tracked 3p;edged off
2025-08-08 ELP 1m Dirt 5 8.3 77 83 Ins;headed 3/16;faded
2025-06-28 CD 6.5f Dirt 4 8.3 80 86 Chs 3p;left ld;yld shw
2024-08-25 ELP 6f Dirt 11 23.8 44 79 Forward ins; faltered