John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 9

SCOTLAND

G '20 · GOOD MAGIC × GEMSWICK PARK

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

88.6

Speed fig

29.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.81
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.58
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.43
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.93
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.69

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.33
  • Today Field Size -0.32
  • Num Career Starts -0.31
  • Class Par Trend -0.20
  • Mean Finish Pos Last 5 -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 7f Dirt 9 15.3 74 97 4wd 1/4; no response
2025-11-30 CD 1m Dirt 9 13.3 84 97 4p;7-8p upper;yielded
2025-11-02 BAQ 1m Dirt 3 4.0 93 99 3-4w upper; wknd late
2025-09-27 BAQ 7f Dirt 3 2.0 95 100 Ins-2path;mvd out3/16
2025-08-23 SAR 7f Dirt 2 1.0 98 104 7w uppr; good finish
2025-07-12 SAR 7f Dirt 3 1.0 94 95 5w pursuit; mild kick
2024-12-01 CD 1m Dirt 1 2.3 94 98 4p;bid upr;dueld;edged
2024-10-26 BAQ 6f Dirt 7 9.3 85 99 6w upper; weakened
2024-09-28 BAQ 7f Dirt 2 4.3 94 100 3-4w pursuit; ran on
2024-07-26 SAR 7f Dirt 1 3.0 98 94 3p turn;eased up 1/16