John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 7

SCHWARZENEGGER

C '23 · NOT THIS TIME × SOOTHSAYING

Trainer: WARD WESLEY A · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

88.9

Speed fig

52.5%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.95
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.42
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.91
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.76
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.65

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.30
  • Today Post Position -0.14
  • Today Field Size -0.13
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.11
  • Starts Last 180d -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 KEE 5.5f Turf 7 7.3 79 92 Stalk 2p;faded;left ld
2025-10-31 DMR 5f Turf 5 3.0 95 98 Sped clear;yielded1/16
2025-10-05 KEE 5.5f Turf 1 0.5 91 86 2p;cleared;held late
2025-08-29 SAR 5.5f Turf 2 0.3 78 83 In hand 4-3w; nailed