John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R11

PP 4

SAUDI CROWN

H '20 · ALWAYS DREAMING × NEW NARRATION

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

96.3

Speed fig

40.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.56
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.84
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.51
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.40
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.30

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.34
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.16
  • Class Par Trend -0.16
  • Run Style E -0.12
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 7f Dirt 1 2.8 102 100 Press 4-5p;drove clear
2026-03-05 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 1.0 102 2p;cued3/16;held sway
2025-06-29 CD 1m Dirt 7 10.3 87 97 4p;vied 2w-4pbtw;wknd
2025-05-03 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.1 98 99 Rated;responded;dug in
2025-03-29 OP 1m Dirt 2 1.0 101 99 Quick splits;outdueld
2025-01-25 GP 1.13m Dirt 5 8.8 94 105 Pace 2p; weakened
2024-12-21 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 2.0 100 97 Stalk 2w;cleard;drivng
2024-11-02 DMR 1m Dirt 13 58.0 29 105 Drft/bp1st;bit tght3/8
2024-08-11 ELP 1m Dirt 1 1.8 101 97 Drew clear;held safely
2024-03-30 MEY 8.0f Dirt 12 21.8