Derby 2026
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PP 7

SATIN BLUE

M '21 · THE FACTOR × MACKENZIE CAPRI

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

84.4

Speed fig

23.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.24
  • Days Since Last Race +0.47
  • Class Par Trend +0.23
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.17
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.36
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.36
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.31
  • Run Style S -0.21
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-06-29 CD 5f Turf 4 3.3 83 87 Bit awk;2p;ran on btw
2025-05-15 CD 5.5f Turf 1 1.3 89 87 Ins;6-8p upr;up late
2025-04-16 KEE 5.5f Turf 7 5.0 77 87 Ins-2p;brsh 7p upr;evn
2024-11-10 CD 5.5f Dirt 3 1.8 79 86 4w;5p1/4;bid;repelled
2024-10-20 KEE 1m Turf 6 3.0 80 87 3w-4p;bid;6-5p1/4;vied
2024-09-01 KD 7f Turf 1 5.5 87 82 Inside;drw off;driving
2024-07-27 SAR 5.5f Turf 2 0.3 78 83 Stmbld brk;bmp;ins trn
2024-06-26 CD 5f Dirt 2 1.5 89 83 Bumpd st;5p1/4;rallied
2024-06-02 CD 5.5f Dirt 4 3.0 77 85 Bumpd btw/jostld early
2024-04-26 KEE 6f Dirt 2 11.8 76 90 Stalked 3wd; no match