John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 8

SASSY AND BOLD

M '20 · DADDY LONG LEGS × ADALEE

Trainer: KNIPPENBERG BRIAN · Jockey: RAMOS JOSEPH D

Today's prediction

78.1

Speed fig

45.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.48
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.60
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.24
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.20
  • Distance Change From Last +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.74
  • Today Post Position -0.38
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.28
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.21
  • Last Speed Fig -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-15 IND 6f Dirt 3 3.5 72 80 5p;bid3/8;no late gain
2026-03-14 TP 5f Dirt 2 1.5 74 80 Stalk 4-5p;kept at bay
2026-03-04 TP 6f Dirt 3 1.5 83 81 4p;bid 5p;outkckd btw
2026-01-01 TP 6f Dirt 1 3.3 82 80 2wbtw;bid 4w1/4;cleard
2025-10-09 KEE 6f Dirt 5 5.0 73 85 4p;6p1/4;one paced
2025-09-17 CD 6.5f Dirt 6 3.8 81 86 4-6p; mild kick
2025-08-21 IND 6f Dirt 3 5.5 82 80 Stlk4p;bid3/16;falterd
2025-07-19 FPK 6f Dirt 1 0.3 82 77 Cut corner;inch ahead
2025-06-18 BTP 6f Dirt 1 6.5 86 82 2p; bid 3/8; clear
2025-05-24 CD 6f Dirt 7 9.3 70 83 Saved ground;no avail