John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 6

SARTORIAL

C '23 · ESSENTIAL QUALITY × MADEMOISELLE COCO

Trainer: ARNOLD GEORGE R II · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

76.8

Speed fig

52.1%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.43
  • Last Speed Fig +0.29
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.28
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.23
  • Today Field Size +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -0.72
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.58
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.32
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.14
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 1.25m Dirt 5 9.0 79 90 Saved ground; no avail
2026-03-01 GP 1.13m Turf 9 6.3 80 85 Ins;3w uppr;no threat
2026-01-10 GP 1.06m Dirt 7 34.3 50 87 Inside; no response
2025-11-20 CD 1m Dirt 4 6.0 76 85 Ins;4p upr;split 1/8
2025-09-28 CD 1m Dirt 3 5.0 79 85 2p;stayed on;edge show