John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 6

SAPPHIRE BEACH

F '23 · NO NAY NEVER × BRIGHT SAPPHIRE

Trainer: ARNOLD GEORGE R II · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

89.0

Speed fig

53.2%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.39
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.48
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.96
  • Last Speed Fig +0.96
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.75

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.20
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.13
  • Today Field Size -0.13
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.12
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 5.5f Turf 2 0.3 96 90 Ins;3w upr;denied;bled
2026-02-28 GP 1m Turf 5 4.0 83 88 Rail; pace; weakened
2026-02-05 GP 5f Turf 1 3.3 84 85 3wd; drew off; drvng
2025-08-28 KD 6.5f Turf 2 1.5 83 Prompt;clrd 3/16;game
2025-07-12 WO 5.5f Dirt 5 5.3 68 84 Press;in hand;no kick
2025-05-30 CD 5f Dirt 2 8.5 67 84 Tight/stdy7/16;no mtch