John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 1

SALTY SENORITA

F '22 · SPEIGHTSTOWN × TAKING AIM

Trainer: MAKER MICHAEL J · Jockey: BEJARANO R

Today's prediction

82.8

Speed fig

21.4%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.40
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.88
  • Last Speed Fig +0.52
  • Today Track Code +0.47
  • Class Par Trend +0.29

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.96
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.45
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.36
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.11
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 1.06m Turf 4 4.0 86 86 3-2p;yielded btw 1/16
2026-03-26 TP 6f Dirt 8 7.0 77 88 Brsh st;far back;rally
2026-02-28 TP 6f Dirt 8 11.8 69 88 Chk erly;traffc 5p3/16
2025-05-31 LRL 5.5f Dirt 1 3.3 80 78 3wd turn; driving
2025-05-09 CD 5f Turf 7 6.3 74 83 Press 3w;5p upr;faded