John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 5

SAINT IN THE CITY

G '20 · MENDELSSOHN × OVERLY TEMPTING

Trainer: VAN BERG THOMAS L · Jockey: ARRIETA FRANCISCO

Today's prediction

81.0

Speed fig

22.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.01
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.64
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.25
  • Last Speed Fig +0.23
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • Class Par Trend -0.27
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.23
  • Starts Last 180d -0.22
  • Today Field Size -0.20
  • Num Career Starts -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-25 TP 1m Dirt 5 5.8 83 86 Ins;headed 3/16;faded
2025-07-14 IND 1.06m Turf 7 5.5 82 82 Stalked2p;faded str
2025-06-21 CD 1.06m Turf 10 11.5 73 92 Fought restraint early
2025-05-07 IND 1m Turf 4 1.8 79 82 Rallied late 5path
2025-03-27 TP 1m Dirt 9 17.3 66 93 Press 2w;3p upr;empty
2025-02-28 TP 1m Dirt 2 3.5 88 86 Pace to str no match
2024-12-14 TP 1m Dirt 4 1.8 84 86 Ins chased; wknd late
2024-11-02 CD 1.06m Turf 1 0.1 86 91 Ins;yld;4-5p upr;rebid
2024-10-24 IND 1.06m Turf 7 2.5 76 85 Rallied belatedly 5p
2024-09-22 CD 1.06m Dirt 6 9.5 79 91 Set pace; gave way