John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 10

ROYAL SAPPHIRE

C '23 · CLUBHOUSE RIDE × STORMY TOO

Trainer: MOGER ED JR · Jockey: PAULY SUMMER

Today's prediction

71.7

Speed fig

31.7%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.26
  • Today Weight +0.16
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.12
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.11
  • Num Career Starts +0.08

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.59
  • Today Field Size -0.52
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.51
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.46
  • Distance Change From Last -0.39

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 6f Dirt 5 9.0 77 86 Chased ins; no bid
2025-11-21 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 3.5 74 79 Vie 3w;lost crop;dueld