John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 10

ROSATO

F '22 · GIFT BOX × PINOT

Trainer: WILKES IAN R · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

83.8

Speed fig

25.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.06
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.08
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.77
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.55
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.28

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.54
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.45
  • Today Post Position -0.42
  • Class Par Trend -0.42
  • Today Field Size -0.31

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 5.5f Turf 3 2.0 85 Stalked ins;bid;outkck
2026-01-18 SUN 5.5f Dirt 6 4.5 81 87 Bmp brk;3p;pass tiring
2025-11-25 ZIA 1.06m Dirt 6 25.3 52 91 Svd gnd;no bid
2025-11-14 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 2.5 92 Brk outwardly;3p;1pace
2025-10-11 KEE 6f Dirt 3 4.3 91 Chased 4p; rallied
2025-09-07 KD 7f Turf 1 0.1 80 87 Trackd;dug 3p btwn;up
2025-08-09 ELP 5.5f Turf 3 1.5 82 87 Chck erly;6p3/16;rally
2024-11-30 CD 6.5f Dirt 10 25.0 51 89 Dueld 3-2w;wknd btw1/4
2024-11-06 CD 6f Dirt 1 5.0 82 83 Bmp;2w;cleard;held swy
2024-10-27 CD 1m Dirt 3 7.8 78 74 Brshd/headd upr;yieldd