John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 6

ROKTAR

C '23 · WAR OF WILL × LIVE YOUNG

Trainer: DIXON JERRY JR · Jockey: ESPINOZA ASSAEL

Today's prediction

62.5

Speed fig

15.7%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Weight Change From Last +0.25
  • Distance Change From Last +0.21
  • Today Track Code +0.21
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.12
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate +0.08

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.40
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.82
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.22
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.84
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.58

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-12 IND 1m Turf 9 9.0 61 75 Stalked3p;faded str
2026-04-12 LRL 1.06m Turf 3 5.5 73 82 Chased;2w;weakened
2026-03-14 TP 1m Dirt 5 16.8 56 85 2w;3p2nd;faded btw3/16