John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 8

ROJO RITA

F '22 · VOLATILE × D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN

Trainer: STEWART DALLAS · Jockey: MENDOZA AMIR

Today's prediction

76.5

Speed fig

18.4%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.12
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.52
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.44
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.38
  • Distance Change From Last +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -1.33
  • Today Field Size -0.96
  • Today Post Position -0.42
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.28
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 OP 5.5f Dirt 2 2.5 82 88 2p; vied5/16; held plc
2026-03-06 FG 5.5f Turf 6 15.3 61 82 Sent;faded stretch
2025-06-11 CD 5.5f Turf 2 1.0 86 91 Ins;shk clear;cght1/16
2025-05-15 CD 5.5f Turf 2 1.3 87 87 Ins;clrd upr;cght late
2025-03-16 GP 6f Dirt 2 2.0 89 88 Svdgnd;clr uppr;caught
2025-02-01 GP 7f Dirt 6 7.8 82 94 Ducked in bump13/16;2p
2024-11-15 GP 6f Dirt 1 16.3 92 80 Rail; pace; ridden out