John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 2

RIVER RISE

F '23 · UPSTART × PROMISE OFTHE NILE

Trainer: WISMER TROY S · Jockey: ANTONGEORGI WILLIAM JR

Today's prediction

72.2

Speed fig

36.4%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Distance Change From Last +0.42
  • Today Post Position +0.39
  • Today Field Size +0.21
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.20
  • Num Career Starts +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.36
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.92
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.71
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.52
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.41

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 7f Dirt 9 15.3 65 88 Step slow start; 6-7p
2026-01-08 TP 6f Dirt 6 7.3 72 80 Bmpd btw/steady st;3p
2025-11-29 CD 6.5f Dirt 9 27.0 54 90 Step slw/bmp;2p;7p upr
2025-11-05 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 12.0 71 78 Yield 3/8; wknd late
2025-09-27 CD 1m Dirt 6 5.8 76 81 Track ins;chased;yield