John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 4

RIGEL

G '20 · CARPE DIEM × MAJOR Z

Trainer: HERNANDEZ SANDINO R · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Scratched today

84.8

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.85
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.70
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.68
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.61
  • Last Finish Pos +0.41

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.40
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.21
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.16
  • Today Field Size -0.14
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-11 TAM 1.13m Turf 1 1.0 82 88 Led;svd gnd;held clr
2026-03-21 TAM 1m Turf 2 0.3 85 88 Led;2p2nd;duel;miss
2026-02-20 TAM 1m Turf 4 3.0 82 83 Inside;2p2nd;no bid
2026-01-25 GP 1.06m Dirt 4 2.5 86 91 Inside; faded stretch
2025-12-13 TAM 1.06m Turf 2 0.1 81 83 Bid 3w;duel;outgamed
2025-10-03 MED 1.06m Turf 1 1.0 74 81 Bid turn; led 1/16
2025-09-04 CNL 1.06m Turf 1 2.8 90 82 Chasd;bid;kept to task
2025-08-15 CNL 1.06m Turf 2 0.3 81 83 Stumble st;4p;drft str
2025-07-12 CNL 1.06m Turf 1 2.3 83 85 Rail;dueled far turn
2025-03-07 GP 1.06m Turf 1 0.8 85 85 Pace 2path; held firm