John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 5

RICHEZTOO

G '23 · SHANCELOT × MADAME DUBOIS

Trainer: ZAWITZ JOEL · Jockey: ROMAN EVIN A

Today's prediction

69.4

Speed fig

51.4%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Last Speed Fig +0.41
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.23
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.18
  • Trainer Meet Starts Log +0.11
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.93
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.82
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.58
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.45
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.44

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 6f Dirt 2 2.8 81 78 2p;no match;2nd best
2026-03-28 TAM 6f Dirt 3 3.5 61 74 Duel;2p;chase on
2026-03-13 TP 6f Dirt 3 1.3 72 76 Duel outs wnnr;left ld
2026-02-08 TAM 7f Dirt 6 19.0 60 84 Track;4p;wkn
2025-10-05 GP 5f Turf 7 7.8 66 77 Chase 3-5w; flattened
2025-09-06 CNL 5.5f Turf 8 12.8 61 79 Closer turn;floated 4w
2025-09-01 CNL 5.5f Turf 4 6.8 67 74 3-4p turn;lug in 3/16
2025-08-07 CNL 5.5f Dirt 3 2.5 64 75 Bid3w;led1/4;faded 1/8
2025-07-18 CNL 5.5f Dirt 2 4.8 60 75 Reluctant;2-3w;tip4w