Derby 2026
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PP 6

RHETORICAL

G '21 · NOT THIS TIME × SHEET HUMOR

Trainer: WALDEN WILLIAM · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

94.2

Speed fig

34.0%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.07
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.32
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.94
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.86
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.47

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.29
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.17
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.12
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.04
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.02

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 1m Turf 3 1.3 94 99 Fractious gt;ins;ranon
2025-11-01 DMR 1m Turf 4 2.0 93 100 Tracked;led;succumbed
2025-10-04 KEE 1m Turf 1 0.8 101 100 Ins-2p;3w upr;bid;held
2025-08-24 SAR 1.06m Turf 1 2.3 96 91 2p1st;2-4p2nd;rallied
2025-07-19 SAR 1.06m Turf 1 2.5 82 91 Brush gate;geared down
2025-05-18 BAQ 1.06m Turf 1 5.0 91 82 Out;3p;lead1/4;driving
2024-08-24 SAR 1.06m Turf 3 0.8 87 87 Rank;ins;angld 2nd;5w
2024-07-26 SAR 1m Turf 1 5.0 78 81 Off 1/2 slw; drew clr