John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R13

PP 17

RESIST

F '23 · MACLEAN'S MUSIC × BAHAMA BABE

Trainer: DRURY THOMAS JR · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

81.4

Speed fig

17.7%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.50
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.76
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.65
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.62
  • Last Speed Fig +0.48

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -1.15
  • Today Field Size -0.78
  • Today Post Position -0.46
  • Today Track Code -0.39
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 TP 1.06m Dirt 3 2.3 88 91 Stut stp;2-4pupr;outkk
2026-02-20 TP 1m Dirt 3 7.8 77 89 Track 3p;best of rest
2026-01-22 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.1 84 87 5-6p2nd;bmpd;dueled;up
2025-12-19 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 1.8 82 81 Angle out; cleared