John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R2

PP 5

RESILIENCE

H '21 · INTO MISCHIEF × MEADOWSWEET

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: LEZCANO JOSE

Today's prediction

85.2

Speed fig

18.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.60
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.04
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.91
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.72
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.70

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Weight -0.37
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.25
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.25
  • Num Career Starts -0.19
  • Today Field Size -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 AQU 6.5f Dirt 3 10.3 83 98 Btwn;2p turn;led;tired
2026-03-27 AQU 1.13m Dirt 6 5.8 87 95 Chased ins; weakened
2025-11-12 CD 1.06m Dirt 5 7.8 81 92 Press 3p;bid btw;yield
2025-10-16 KEE 1.06m Dirt 3 2.5 90 93 Stalk 3w;vie;yield btw
2025-09-18 CD 1.13m Dirt 2 0.1 96 93 Outs winner;dueld;hung
2025-08-09 SAR 1m Turf 6 3.0 85 91 Ins;2p5/16;4p1/4;chsd
2025-07-12 SAR 1m Dirt 4 8.5 86 91 Stmbld bad brk;off slw
2025-06-08 SAR 1.13m Dirt 3 5.0 92 93 3-4p turns;led1/4-1/8
2025-05-02 CD 1m Dirt 7 15.5 80 93 Dueled 4path; gave way
2024-06-08 SAR 1.25m Dirt 10 33.3 70 103 Tracked 2p; faltered