John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 4

REBEL INSTINCT

C '23 · INTO MISCHIEF × UNRIVALED BELLE

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

84.4

Speed fig

40.7%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.82
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.68
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.93
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.69
  • Today Track Code +0.67

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.03
  • Today Field Size -0.56
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.44
  • Days Since Last Race -0.30
  • Starts Last 180d -0.29

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-02 BAQ 1m Dirt 1 3.0 94 84 Bobble st; edged clear
2025-09-27 BAQ 1m Dirt 2 1.0 87 83 2p turn;4p3/16;bid1/16