John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 2

RATIONAL THEORY

F '22 · PRACTICAL JOKE × AUNT DOROTHY

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ASMUSSEN KEITH J

Today's prediction

83.8

Speed fig

49.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.12
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.72
  • Last Speed Fig +0.68
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.43
  • Today Track Code +0.27

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.46
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.19
  • Today Field Size -0.18
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.11
  • Class Par Trend -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-09 OP 6f Dirt 1 8.3 90 84 Bid 3p1/4; kicked away
2026-03-06 OP 6f Dirt 2 9.5 78 84 2p;roused3/16;flatten
2025-07-04 ELP 6f Dirt 2 1.3 83 78 Brk out;prss 3p;outkck
2025-06-07 CD 5.5f Turf 7 2.8 76 82 Ins;drft 3p1/8;yld btw
2025-04-19 OP 6f Dirt 4 8.3 74 85 Outfinished 2nd btwn
2025-03-22 OP 6f Dirt 3 1.3 77 84 Dueled; yielded late
2025-01-18 OP 6f Dirt 3 3.3 76 85 Floatd in brk;grudging
2024-11-15 CD 5f Dirt 3 4.5 79 81 Dueld outs wnnr;yieldd
2024-09-27 CD 5.5f Dirt 9 21.3 48 82 Ins pair;faltered btw
2024-08-18 SAR 6f Dirt 4 9.8 69 86 2p turn;headed ins3/16