John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 7

RANDO

F '22 · VINO ROSSO × GAS STATION SUSHI

Trainer: SHORTER AARON · Jockey: TORRES CRISTIAN A

Today's prediction

80.6

Speed fig

51.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.13
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.61
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.55
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.39
  • Class Par Trend +0.33

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.49
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.24
  • Today Post Position -0.24
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.13
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 0.8 85 88 Btwn 2p;5p lane;ran on
2026-04-12 OP 6f Dirt 2 2.3 81 87 4-5p; aim 3/16; ran on
2026-03-13 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 0.3 83 79 Pressed;led;stubborn
2025-12-06 RP 1m Dirt 2 1.3 77 81 Rallied; 6w; gaining;
2025-11-13 CD 1m Dirt 2 0.3 88 82 Bmpd;ins;rail bid;duel
2025-10-29 CD 1m Dirt 8 15.5 63 79 Tight btw early; 5wd
2025-09-11 CD 1m Dirt 7 15.8 74 84 Bob bit/floatd st;3-6p
2025-08-26 IND 1.06m Turf 6 9.0 73 80 Awk;angld4p1/4;rally
2025-07-12 IND 1m Dirt 2 7.3 76 83 Rally3p3/8;no match
2025-06-07 CD 1m Dirt 5 6.5 75 84 Bump st;2-4p;no menace