John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 8

RACING DRIVER

C '22 · DIALED IN × MUNHALL MISS

Trainer: DELGADO GUSTAVO · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

87.8

Speed fig

23.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.45
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.86
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.83
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.12
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.75

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.07
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.36
  • Today Post Position -0.30
  • Num Career Starts -0.26
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 1.06m Dirt 3 8.5 87 99 Stalk3w;4w uppr;held3d
2026-03-07 TAM 1.06m Dirt 5 11.3 90 99 Outside;3-4p;no bid
2026-01-24 GP 1m Dirt 4 9.3 92 99 Bumped brk; belatedly
2025-12-20 GP 1.06m Dirt 7 20.5 71 99 Outside;4p; tired
2025-11-16 GP 1m Dirt 1 0.8 89 90 Angld 4w;sustained bid
2025-10-19 KEE 1.13m Dirt 6 16.8 80 95 2-3p;bumped btw upper
2025-09-27 CD 1.13m Dirt 1 1.3 93 90 2p;yld btw;6p1/4;rally
2025-06-28 CD 1.13m Dirt 4 5.0 89 91 Veer in/bmp/stdy st;3p
2025-05-26 CD 1m Dirt 1 1.5 84 89 3 wide move;lean in1/8
2025-05-03 CD 1.06m Dirt 6 12.0 90 91 Altered sharply 1st