John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 9

QUICK RAE AA

G '18 · BURNING SAND × TRIUMPHS PEARL

Trainer: RUGGERI NICOLE · Jockey: SAEZ GABRIEL

Today's prediction

65.3

Speed fig

7.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.90
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.43
  • Today Weight +0.28
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.16
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.78
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -2.00
  • Today Track Code -1.29
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.09
  • Max Speed Fig Career -1.01

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 HOU 7f Dirt 3 2.0 Stlk ins;in-tight late
2026-03-15 HOU 1.06m Turf 3 11.0 Off pace;kept on 3rd
2026-02-06 HOU 6.5f Dirt 4 7.5 Trk2w;outfinished
2026-01-18 HOU 6.5f Dirt 2 1.0 3w;closed late;2d best
2025-10-16 LS 6f Dirt 3 10.5 Midpack;6w;mild gain
2025-08-06 RET 6f Dirt 3 2.8 Chased; 3w; bid; empty
2025-07-02 RET 6.5f Dirt 1 4.5 Settled; 2w; driving
2025-05-17 PIM 1.06m Dirt 5 35.5 Pressured ins;weaknd
2025-02-09 HOU 6.5f Dirt 6 12.3 Vied to 1/4; gave way
2025-01-24 HOU 6f Dirt 3 4.5 Stalk ins;outkicked