John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 7

QUEENS COMMAND

M '19 · WAR COMMAND × LOVE THIRTY

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

86.5

Speed fig

27.7%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.30
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.31
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.87
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.73
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.66

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.41
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.32
  • Today Track Code -0.22
  • Days Since Last Race -0.22
  • Class Par Trend -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-01 CD 1.13m Turf 8 6.0 85 92 At rear 2wd; no impact
2026-03-28 GP 1.06m Turf 4 2.0 88 92 3wd; 6wd 3/16; ran on
2026-03-07 GP 1.06m Dirt 3 7.3 85 89 2-3wd; along for show
2025-12-21 TP 1m Dirt 8 17.5 69 94 Bumped brk;no rally
2025-11-08 WO 1.25m Dirt 2 0.1 83 93 Edge clr16th;caught
2025-10-04 WO 1.06m Turf 8 7.8 84 97 Made little impression
2025-08-29 WO 1.06m Turf 1 2.5 88 87 To lead1/8;going away
2024-10-14 SA 1m Turf 5 3.5 78 91 Bid 4deep2nd;flattened
2024-08-29 KD 1.31m Turf 6 4.0 81 89 4p turn; no final bid
2024-06-20 CD 1.06m Turf 7 8.0 79 90 Inside; never involved
2024-05-03 CD 1.13m Turf 9 8.8 82 92 3-4w;chasd;5w1/4;tired