John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 9

QUARRY

G '23 · WAR OF WILL × BLACK DYNAMITE

Trainer: DRURY THOMAS JR · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

79.7

Speed fig

37.9%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.06
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.30
  • Last Speed Fig +0.23
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.22
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.35
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.24
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.21
  • Today Field Size -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 KEE 7f Dirt 2 1.3 82 92 3-4p;rallied;dleft lea
2025-12-19 TP 6f Dirt 3 3.0 75 84 Tracked 3wd showed
2025-12-04 TP 1m Dirt 4 1.8 76 80 Widest 1st bid hung
2025-11-15 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 0.1 85 85 2p;bid3w;clear;denied
2025-10-18 KEE 1.06m Dirt 3 1.0 76 84 2w;duel;led;falter btw
2025-09-27 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 3.0 73 85 Bmp;ins;4p2nd;willngly
2025-09-04 KD 1m Turf 3 8.0 68 76 3-4w; up for show
2025-07-21 ELP 5.5f Turf 8 9.0 68 78 Dueled 2w btw;wknd 1/8
2025-06-22 CD 5.5f Dirt 4 2.3 66 84 4-2p;roused5/16;rally`