John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 2

PUNKIN BOY

G '22 · BRODY'S CAUSE × POSSIBLY A TEN

Trainer: MCCALL WILLIAM · Jockey: VILLARREAL OSCAR

Today's prediction

65.5

Speed fig

28.9%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Post Position +0.24
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.23
  • Num Career Starts +0.14
  • Mean Trouble Last 5 +0.14
  • Today Field Size +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.06
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.09
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.71
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.62
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.45

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-12 IND 1m Turf 5 7.0 63 76 Angld7p3/16;rallied
2026-04-24 KEE 1.06m Dirt 6 18.3 61 81 Bumped start; outrun
2025-06-15 WO 1m Turf 3 6.0 66 73 Fan 7w;missed place
2025-05-25 WO 1.06m Dirt 4 11.3 68 81 Brk in;one pace;minor
2025-05-03 WO 6f Dirt 3 3.5 73 80 Late rally up for show
2024-08-18 WO 6f Dirt 5 6.8 61 75 Brk in;4-5w;evenly