John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 11

PROPS

G '23 · STREET SENSE × GLORYZAPPER

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ASMUSSEN KEITH J

Today's prediction

70.4

Speed fig

30.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Distance Change From Last +0.16
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.15
  • Today Track Code +0.12
  • Days Since Last Race +0.11
  • Last Speed Fig +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.94
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.51
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.51
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.40
  • Today Post Position -0.31

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-22 KEE 6f Dirt 3 9.3 74 84 Chsd ins;2p1/8;edg shw
2026-04-10 KEE 7f Dirt 4 8.3 65 84 2p;alter 1/16;willngly
2026-02-17 FG 1.06m Dirt 5 11.8 67 82 Saved ground; faded
2026-01-29 FG 6f Dirt 2 0.3 75 85 7w; driving; missed
2026-01-03 FG 6f Dirt 2 4.3 73 83 Train; gain; 5w rally
2025-11-15 CD 1.06m Dirt 6 26.5 54 85 5w1st;3-4p;tired
2025-10-29 CD 7f Dirt 5 11.8 67 84 3wd btw;6p1/4;moved up
2025-09-27 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 5.0 71 85 4-2p1st;stayed on ins
2025-08-31 KD 1m Turf 4 4.8 72 76 3p;drift6p1/4;improved
2025-08-04 ELP 7f Dirt 4 8.5 65 72 2wbtw;coax;lug out3/16