John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 11

PRIZE PICK

C '23 · TIZ THE LAW × KEESHA

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

85.2

Speed fig

40.0%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.75
  • Last Speed Fig +1.13
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.03
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.70
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.55

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.67
  • Today Post Position -0.53
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.20
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.15
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-02 CD 7f Dirt 1 4.3 99 89 Drew away;ridden out
2026-04-03 KEE 1m Turf 5 5.5 79 87 2p;btw;bid 4p1/4;yield
2026-02-22 GP 7.5f Turf 3 1.0 81 84 4-3wd; led upper
2026-01-25 GP 6f Dirt 4 2.8 76 90 Between;2p;no lte kick
2025-12-27 GP 1m Dirt 5 11.3 73 83 Pace 2path; tired
2025-11-14 CD 6f Dirt 2 2.0 73 84 Ins;clear;caught late