John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 10

PRIVATE SHOW

G '22 · STREET SENSE × FASHION BABE

Trainer: LAROSE KINNON · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

71.8

Speed fig

32.6%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Last Speed Fig +0.27
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.21
  • Today Track Code +0.18
  • Is Lone Speed +0.14
  • Num Career Starts +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.47
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.76
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.61
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.45
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.36

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 OP 1m Dirt 3 2.0 76 78 Track 2p-ins; kept on
2026-02-19 OP 1.06m Dirt 4 4.3 69 79 Chk1st;4-3p;evenly str
2025-10-23 KEE 1.06m Dirt 7 37.3 52 86 3-4p; faded 5p2nd
2024-11-24 FG 1.06m Dirt 5 14.5 70 85 5p uppr;lacked rally