John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 12

PRAETOR

C '22 · INTO MISCHIEF × CURLIN'S APPROVAL

Trainer: BROWN CHAD C · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

90.3

Speed fig

33.6%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.74
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.60
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.27
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.11
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.00

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.54
  • Today Post Position -0.49
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate -0.34
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.26
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 7f Dirt 3 3.0 95 96 2wbtw;led 7/16;gave wy
2026-02-14 GP 1m Dirt 2 0.8 103 98 3p; led; outgamed
2025-04-12 KEE 1.06m Dirt 3 5.5 87 97 Press 2w;dueled;faded
2025-03-09 GP 1m Dirt 1 7.5 87 92 2wd; ridden out
2024-09-27 BAQ 1m Dirt 1 0.3 89 82 Ins turn;clr 3/16-1/16
2024-08-03 SAR 6f Dirt 3 7.8 86 88 Bmp brk;pinched;3-5w