John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R12

PP 14

POTENTE

C '23 · INTO MISCHIEF × SWEET STING

Trainer: BAFFERT BOB · Jockey: HERNANDEZ JUAN J

Today's prediction

88.6

Speed fig

18.3%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.87
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.72
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.23
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.33
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.77
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.50
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.83
  • Today Track Code -0.64
  • Today Weight -0.48

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 SA 1.13m Dirt 2 2.8 100 102 Insd;fought to midstr
2026-03-07 SA 1.06m Dirt 1 0.1 97 97 Stalk2-3wd;dug in late
2026-01-31 SA 6f Dirt 1 0.8 90 93 Inside; proved best