John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 3

PORTFOLIO DURATION

F '22 · NIGHT OF THUNDER × SHEMYA

Trainer: BROWN CHAD C · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

89.2

Speed fig

38.5%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.61
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.88
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.73
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.69
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.47

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.52
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.25
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.23
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.09
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 TAM 1m Turf 1 4.8 88 81 Bid3/8;2p;kick clear
2025-12-03 TAM 1.06m Turf 1 5.8 83 75 2-3w;took over;drw off
2025-02-08 TAM 1.06m Turf 2 0.1 83 74 Came4w;closed;missed