John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 2

POP ROX

F '22 · MUNNINGS × RED EXPLOSION

Trainer: D'ANGELO JOSE FRANCISCO · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

77.4

Speed fig

43.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.20
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.49
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.44
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.42
  • Last Speed Fig +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.89
  • Days Since Last Race -0.36
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.35
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.20
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-08 GP 6f Dirt 1 0.1 84 85 3wd; long duel; game
2025-12-19 GP 5.5f Dirt 1 1.8 87 78 Inside bid;edged clear
2025-12-04 GP 5.5f Dirt 1 0.1 80 79 Bump st; 3wd; up wire
2025-11-21 GP 5.5f Dirt 1 3.5 81 78 Press 3w;drove clear
2025-09-26 GP 5.5f Dirt 5 9.5 73 79 Btw 2w;gain;flattened
2025-08-24 GP 6.5f Dirt 6 10.0 69 85 Swung widest;no rally
2025-07-18 GP 5.5f Dirt 4 5.3 76 83 Stp slw;4w;no rally
2025-06-28 GP 6.5f Dirt 5 5.5 77 85 Gain 2w;flattened out
2025-05-31 GP 5.5f Dirt 2 5.8 80 84 3w;no match;2nd best
2025-05-08 GP 6f Dirt 1 5.0 84 76 Stalked;4w turn;drvng